Lemme see if I can fix it. Does it take you anywhere? Like to a paywall?
I think you pose several valid points and you are correct that almost all of those patients were hospitalized and most sourced from the initial outbreak in Wuhan.
For the record, I think the Imperial study made a lot of hasty and flawed assumptions, but they are prevailing as the authority so that’s why I cite them.
I wish Los Alamos would release their model.
And I sure hope hospital outcomes are better in the US. I think it’s a fair prediction that they will be, which is even more reason to not incite panic with “30% of infected end up in the ICU.”